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Anyone who watches sports has probably heard that Joey Gallo had a HR in each of his first two MLB games, but has everyone seen how crazy his K-rate is?
As of this moment, Gallo has two Ks in two ABs in his third game. That gives him six on the season in eleven ABs.
Gallo's K-rate is .600. His batting avg is .400. His BABiP is 1.000.
Obviously some regression is expected in the BABiP department, but it seems the avg of 2 Ks per game may be more norm than deviant.
He has faced two very tough lefties which will affect most LH batters especially a 21 yr old rookie but yes he swings big, hits big and misses big. Shocking...no.
Really? Let's rip on a guy in the middle of only his 3rd MLB game???
SMH.
I wasn't ripping on him. It was more that I was amazed that he had a 1.000 BABiP at that point. It's now gone down, since he apparently flew out to center in the sixth inning of today's game.Quote:
Originally Posted by xpress34
SMH at you SYH at someone commenting on K rates of a prospect who has shown a long swing throughout his minor league career, as well:
296 G
1056 AB
104 HR
429 K
Yes, he has a ton of power, but he also has a LOT of swing and miss.
And for those of you who (like me) didn't know what SMH stands for, it's "shaking my head." I only found this out two weeks ago by asking my friend about it.
It was 2 games.......there is nothing historic about that small of a sample size.
I think this thread should be locked due to the amount of abbreviations used...it has to violate some rule..........:D
And that could change. Example? On the Defensive side, Nolan Arenado was said to be a defensive liability - even as he was moving from AA to AAA. Now he's putting on another showcase as he looks to take his 3rd consecutive Gold Glove at 3rd base.Quote:
Originally Posted by danesei@yahoo.com
I personally think you're making too much out of nothing. When he has a season or two under his belt, then is the time to start analyzing his numbers.
I'd actually be interested to read about that. My impression (before Arenado made the major league club) was that he was a defense first player. I vaguely recall he was defensive player of the year in 2011 for the Cal League, which would have been high-A ball.Quote:
Originally Posted by xpress34
This thread is a joke right? 2 game statistics? Seriously?
334 games and counting:Quote:
Originally Posted by johnsontravis@ymail.com
MiLB + MLB stats
334 G
1193 AB
115 HR
488 K
Beyond that, isn't the entire point of prospects to be amazed by small sample sizes? Gallo's numbers (on both ends) are unprecedented. The closest comparison appears to be Giancarlo Stanton.
Comparisons of small sample sizes:
MiLB K% and AB/HR rates
Joey Gallo (2012-2014/2015 so far; age 18-20/21): .406/.406 & 10.15/10.42
Giancarlo Stanton (2007-2010; age 17-20): .310 & 13.43
Adam Dunn (1998-2001; age 18-21): .224 & 19.17
Bryce Harper (2010-2011; age 17-18): .232 & 23.44
Kris Bryant (2013-2014; age 21-22): .318 & 4.37
Anthony Rizzo (2007-2012; age 17-22): .230 & 19.46
Corey Seager (2012-2015; age 18-21): .219 & 23.60
Miguel Cabrera (2000-2003; age 17-20): .187 & 51.41
Chris Davis (2006-2011; age 20-25): .272 & 15.31
Ryan Howard (2001-2005; age 21-25): .316 & 16.79
Gallo has age both on his side and working against him. If he's able to work on his recognition on breaking balls, he could turn out to be an even more powerful version of Stanton. However, he's also a year older than Stanton was at the same level (second time through AA), producing similar numbers.
Gallo can be great, but historically high K-rates have been 100 points lower than his K-rates to this point. That's a huge chasm to overcome.
2015 MLB stats
11 G
40 AB
4 HR
16 K
MiLB + MLB stats
340 G
1217 AB
117 HR
494 K
I realize no one cares, but Gallo's K-rate now exceeds his SLG at the MLB level.
21 G
76 AB
5 HR
36 Ks
.224/.306/.461
Gallo was sent down today when Josh Hamilton was activated.
Dave Miedema
If anyone is having a "Joey Gallo Historic K Rate" game used fire sale please contact me. I have a soft spot for 21 year old power hitting lefties who have already had a taste of the Major Leagues. :D
153 PAQuote:
Originally Posted by Wrigley2010
133 AB (1.75 AB per K)
76 K (49.67% of the time he steps up the plate, he strikes out at the MLB level)
.173 BA
.281 OBP
.368 SLG
.195 ISO
How do you feel about 23-yr-old strike out specialists... who aren't pitchers?
If Gallo is allowed to start on an every day basis in MLB, he might eventually figure out pitch recognition. Otherwise, he will absolutely destroy Mark Reynolds' reputation as the worst strikeout hitter of all time.
Career across all levels:
1869 AB
794 K
324 BB
159 HR
42.48% K-rate
8.5% HR-rate
17.3% BB-rate
Maybe Gallo will eventually figure out MLB pitching, but he likely won't improve until 2019, if ever. So, is a 25-yr-old Russell Branyan two years from now worth anything to an MLB team today?
He's improving!Quote:
Originally Posted by LarryWalkerFan
248 AB
112 K
.194 BA
.306 OBP
.508 SLG
.314 ISO!!!
Now that Gallo has enough ABs to no longer be considered an extremely small sample size, here are his 162 game averages:
222 Ks
477 ABs
95 Hs
39 HRs
77 BBs
.200/.319/.495
.295 ISO
Basically, over the course of an average 162 game season, Gallo is expected to tie the MLB strikeout record.
Of course, someone will undoubtedly bring up Aaron Judge, whose average strikeouts per 162 is one higher, but Gallo still takes the prize for worst contact hitter, since his strikeout rate (.465) crushes his OBP (.319). Judge, by contrast, has an OBP (.404) that exceeds his strikeout rate (.400).