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View Full Version : HOF Ballot -- Who should stay on ballot with 5% of Vote



Chris78
01-06-2010, 10:15 AM
I already mentioned in the other thread who I think may be elected this year -- Alomar, Larkin, Dawson, and Blyleven. But who should stay on the ballot? I will name the 26 candidates and divide it on who in my opinion who might stay and who will not stay. Among the Top 16 candidates, who is most likely not to get 5% of the vote this year and would be knocked off the ballot?

Here are the 2010 canididates for induction into the Baseball Hall of Fame:

1) Roberto Alomar
2) Harold Baines
3) Bert Blyleven
4) Andre Dawson
5) Andres Galarraga
6) Barry Larkin
7) Edgar Martinez
8) Don Mattingly
9) Fred McGriff
10) Mark McGwire
11) Jack Morris
12) Dale Murphy
13) Dave Parker
14) Tim Raines
15) Lee Smith
16) Alan Trammell

17) Kevin Appier
18) Ellis Burks
19) Pat Hentgen
20) Mike Jackson
21) Eric Karros
22) Ray Lankford
23) Shane Reynolds
24) David Segui
25) Robin Ventura
26) Todd Zeile

Of the names mentioned in the Top 16, I think Harold Baines is the most likely candidate from the returnees not to stay on. I think that of the new candidates in the Top 16 (Alomar, Galarraga, Larkin, Martinez, and McGriff), Galarraga is the only one that may not make it another ballot. Candidates 17-26 have no chance to get 5% in my opinion. What does everyone else think and remember you can only vote for 10 candidate if you were actually voting.

Chris

Chris78
01-06-2010, 03:23 PM
Andres Galarraga did not make 5% and got 22 votes (4.1%). He is officially gone.

Disappointed that Blyleven (74.2%) and Alomar (73.7%) did not make it. Both should make it next year if they are that close.

Barry Larkin had 51.6% and Edgar Martinez had 36.2%. Larkin should make it in the next few years. Martinez might be the next Blyleven.

Any other thoughts out there?

Chris

legaleagle92481
01-06-2010, 03:59 PM
Here is a radical idea: Everyone gets one year on the ballot no holdovers. Your either a hall of famer or your not additional years post ones playing career does not make him any more or less of a hall of famer. If one summer there is no induction and in another there are four or five so be it. Whats the point of having guys like Mattingly, Lee Smith, etc. be voted on for 15 years and never get close to being inducted and other guys like Dawson who everyone knows will get in at some point have to wait nine long years?

earlywynnfan
01-06-2010, 04:07 PM
"Next year's ballot also will include newcomers Rafael Palmeiro, Juan Gonzalez, Larry Walker, Jeff Bagwell, John Franco and Kevin Brown."


Looking ahead, I think the stigma will follow Gonzalez and Raffy. I never considered Bagwell and Walker to be strong candidates. That means that it should be Blyleven's year, and surely Alomar will.

I agree with a "one-shot" deal; telling Dawson or Rice that they aren't HOF-worthy for many many years, then suddenly they are is pure crap. I've also never understood those who play the "first ballot" game. Why didn't Rickey get 100%? Or Seaver or Carlton or Schmidt? I think HOF voters should have to explain themselves to the public.

Ken
earlywynnfan5@hotmail.com

cjclong
01-06-2010, 04:34 PM
I would not be against the one year rule. I think because we have an election every year the sports writers feel that someone should be voted in every year. If you get a weak class they will vote in someone who would not make it if there better qualified candidates on the list just to vote someone in. Since we aren't changing anytime soon I think some of the players like McGuire and Palmeiro should get enough votes to stay on the list. I know a lot of people think those that have been accused of using steroids should be banned. But lets say the voters 10 years from now vote in ARod . Would it be fair to have banned a Palmeiro or McGuire because of steroids and then later vote in an Arod. And how do you deal with players many believe used steroids like Clemons or Bonds who would have had HOF careers if they had retired before the years they have been accused of using steroids?

5kRunner
01-06-2010, 05:06 PM
Why didn't Rickey get 100%? Or Seaver or Carlton or Schmidt? I think HOF voters should have to explain themselves to the public.

I agree. Heck, Babe Ruth, Ty Cobb, Ted Williams, Willie Mays, and Hank Aaron didn't get 100%. I think Seaver has the highest percentage though. I could be wrong.

ironmanfan
01-06-2010, 05:36 PM
I agree. Heck, Babe Ruth, Ty Cobb, Ted Williams, Willie Mays, and Hank Aaron didn't get 100%. I think Seaver has the highest percentage though. I could be wrong.

that's right

metsbats
01-06-2010, 09:45 PM
http://www.baseball-almanac.com/hof/hofmem4.shtml


Found this on the baseball almanac site.

mr.miracle
01-06-2010, 10:06 PM
I agree. Heck, Babe Ruth, Ty Cobb, Ted Williams, Willie Mays, and Hank Aaron didn't get 100%. I think Seaver has the highest percentage though. I could be wrong.


Ken, right or wrong, the fact that Babe Ruth, Honus Wagner, Ted Williams, Walter Johnson, Willie Mays, Hank Aaron, heck Joe DiMaggio was not even 1st ballot??? never made it unanimously, seems to indicate that nobody ever will. If those guys did not go in unanimously, I cannot see how anyone can suggest any number of current stars should be unanimous selections. I think that the model was laid out for this years ago and probably nobody will ever be unanimous.

5kRunner
01-06-2010, 10:18 PM
Ken, right or wrong, the fact that Babe Ruth, Honus Wagner, Ted Williams, Walter Johnson, Willie Mays, Hank Aaron, heck Joe DiMaggio was not even 1st ballot??? never made it unanimously, seems to indicate that nobody ever will. If those guys did not go in unanimously, I cannot see how anyone can suggest any number of current stars should be unanimous selections. I think that the model was laid out for this years ago and probably nobody will ever be unanimous.

There was talk in 2007 that Ripken would be the first unanimous selection. Didn't happen and I agree with you. It never will.

But seriously, anyone who didn't vote for Ruth, Wagner, Williams, etc. should have his voting privileges taken away.

mr.miracle
01-06-2010, 10:28 PM
There was talk in 2007 that Ripken would be the first unanimous selection. Didn't happen and I agree with you. It never will.

But seriously, anyone who didn't vote for Ruth, Wagner, Williams, etc. should have his voting privileges taken away.


Agreed, there are just too many variables that will prevent this from ever happening in my opinion. Heck, Cal is the highest position player ever elected in terms of percentage 3rd overall and although he is my favorite player, should not be ahead of Ruth, Wagner, Williams, Mays, Aaron, Johnson to name a few. Just no way that anybody is ever going to hit that mark.

NYCrulesU
01-06-2010, 10:41 PM
Here's the top 12 players in terms of voting %.


1. Tom Seaver- 98.84%
2. Nolan Ryan- 98.79%
3. Cal Ripken Jr.- 98.53%
4. Ty Cobb- 98.23%
5. George Brett- 98.19%
6. Hank Aaron- 97.83%
7. Tony Gwynn- 97.61%
8. Mike Schmidt- 96.52%
9. Johnny Bench- 96.42%
10. Steve Carlton- 95.82%
11. Babe Ruth- 95.13%
12. Honus Wagner- 95.13%

mr.miracle
01-06-2010, 10:55 PM
Here's the top 12 players in terms of voting %.


1. Tom Seaver- 98.84%
2. Nolan Ryan- 98.79%
3. Cal Ripken Jr.- 98.53%
4. Ty Cobb- 98.23%
5. George Brett- 98.19%
6. Hank Aaron- 97.83%
7. Tony Gwynn- 97.61%
8. Mike Schmidt- 96.52%
9. Johnny Bench- 96.42%
10. Steve Carlton- 95.82%
11. Babe Ruth- 95.13%
12. Honus Wagner- 95.13%

When you look at this list, I suppose you can chalk this up to another era with different voters or something, but only Cobb, Ruth and Wagner are really from a totally different era. I know Aaron was elected like 27 or 28 years ago but everyone else on this list has been elected in the past 20 - 25 years. Nobody in their right mind could honestly suggest that Terrific Tom or Nolan Ryan are in the discussion as one of the top five pitchers in baseball history (maybe that is a bit harsh) but neither one is in the top five on anybody's list that I know of. Additionally, other players that should be at the very top of this list or who are not even on it would be Aaron, Mays, Williams, Ruth, Wagner, Cobb, Johnson, DiMaggio, Mantle to name a few. Who knows what affects the voters decision but this list does not generally make much sense.

earlywynnfan
01-07-2010, 09:40 PM
There was talk in 2007 that Ripken would be the first unanimous selection. Didn't happen and I agree with you. It never will.

But seriously, anyone who didn't vote for Ruth, Wagner, Williams, etc. should have his voting privileges taken away.

Well, it's hard to disagree with that statement, but remember what the ballots were like then. Almost all the old-time greats were out there, and only so many could be voted in. Imagine if we just started the HOF today, one for players who have played since 1970, and we were electing the inaugural class. You've got 10 slots on your ballot, who do you put in? Schmidt? What about Brett, or Boggs? Aaron, Mays, McCovey, Morgan, and so on and so on. The early legends weren't 100% locks because people didn't think they were great, they weren't locks because they were up against so much other greatness. I'm sure someone was sitting there saying "I know Ruth is the best player ever, so he'll get in no problem, so I'm going to leave him off my ballot and try to get Eddie Collins in." Now we've gotten all the "lock HOFers" out of the way, unless someone retires, so we can debate players now who wouldn't have had a chance in the early days.

Ken
earlywynnfan5@hotmail.com